Aurelion Research

Aurelion Research

Commodity

Oil Tankers: The Smoothest Trade in Shipping

The momentum remains on the upside

Aurelion Research's avatar
Aurelion Research
Nov 25, 2025
∙ Paid

Tanker markets enter Q4 with real momentum.

Rising oil production, firm refinery margins, sanctions friction, and a tight global fleet keep spot earnings strong across crude segments. VLCC rates remain high, and modern fleets with strong spot exposure continue to capture this strength into early 1Q 2026. Supply growth stays limited through the back half of the decade, and aging fleets restrict expansion. The overall setup is steady and durable for crude tanker operators with the right mix.

Frontline (FRO) and Okeanis (OET) stand out in this environment.

FRO benefits from meaningful VLCC exposure and strong cash generation, reflected in its solid Q3 2025 performance. OET delivers consistent operations with attractive relative value. Together they offer clean access to the current tanker cycle and reliable capture of near-term earnings strength.

The sections that follow provide our full analysis. Investors can access the charts, the cycle drivers, the comparative positioning, and the valuation work that shape our view of this tanker market.

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